Exit polls predict BJP edge in WB, NDA to return in Assam, Puducherry; DMK in TN; UDF to take Keralam
   Date :30-Apr-2026

Exit polls predict BJP 
 
NEW DELHI :
 
SEVERAL exit polls on Wednesday predicted a thumping victory for the BJP in Assam and a clear edge for the party over the ruling TMC in West Bengal, while projecting a return of the DMK Government in Tamil Nadu and a comeback by the Congress-led UDF in Keralam after 10 years. The pollsters also forecast a return to power for the AINRC-led NDA Government in Puducherry. Axis My India predicted a sweep for the BJP in Assam, forecasting 88-100 seats for the BJP and its allies and 24-36 seats for the Congress and its partners. People’s Pulse predicted that the NDA would get 68-72 seats while the Congress plus would secure in the range of 22-26 seats. Matrize said the NDA is likely to get between 85-95 seats and the Congress and its allies 25-32. The Assam assembly has 126 seats with the magic mark being 64. JVC predicted 88-101 seats for the BJP and 23-33 seats for Congress. It gave 0-2 seats in AIUDF and three to others. In West Bengal, the People’s Pulse exit poll predicted that the TMC would get 177-187 seats, BJP 95-110, Left Front 0-1 and the Congress 1-3. Matrize, however, predicted a BJP edge in the State, and said it is likely to get 146-161 seats. It said the TMC would get 125-140 seats. The exit poll by Chanakya Strategies has projected 150-160 Assembly seats in the BJP’s corner while placing Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC) with 130-140 seats of the total 294 Assembly seats in the state. Meanwhile, other parties are being projected to win six to 10 Assembly seats in West Bengal as per Chanakya Strategies. P-Marq predicted 150-175 for the BJP and 118-138 to the TMC.
 
West Bengal has a total of 294 seats with the majority mark being 148. The exit poll by Poll Diary has projected 142 to 171 Assembly seats in the BJP’s corner, while placing Mamata Banerjee’s party with 99 to 127 seats in West Bengal. Meanwhile, other political parties are projected to win 3-5 Assembly seats. In Keralam, Axis My India forecast that the UDF would get 78-90 seats, LDF 49-62 and NDA 0-3. People’s Pulse predicted that the Congress-led UDF would get 75-85 seats, the LDF 55-65 and the NDA 0-3. Matrize forecast 60-65 seats for the LDF, 70-75 seats for the UDF and 3-5 seats for the NDA. Keralam Assembly has a total of 140 seats with the magic mark being 71. For Tamil Nadu, the pollsters projected the incumbent CM MK Stalin-led Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) alliance winning the 2026 Assembly elections. The exit poll by People Pulse has projected 125-145 Assembly seats in DMK’s corner, while placing Nationalist Democratic Alliance-backed (NDA) All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) with 65 to 80 seats of the total 234 Assembly seats in the state. Meanwhile, Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) is being projected to win merely 18-24 Assembly seats in Tamil Nadu as per People Pulse. According to exit poll projections by Matrize, DMK and allies are winning Tamil Nadu Assembly polls with 122-132, while AIADMK and allies are projected to win on 80 to 100 seats. Meanwhile, as per Matrize, TVK is projected to 10-12 Assembly seats in Tamil Nadu.
 
The exit poll by P-MARQ has projected 125-145 Assembly seats in DMK’s corner, while placing AIADMK with 60 to 85 seats of the total 234 Assembly seats in the state. Meanwhile, Vijay’s TVK is being projected to win merely 16-26 Assembly seats in Tamil Nadu as per P-MARQ. The exit poll by People Insight has projected 120-140 Assembly seats in DMK’s corner, while placing AIADMK with 60 to 70 seats of the total 234 Assembly seats in the state. Meanwhile, Vijay’s TVK is being projected to win 30 to 40 Assembly seats in Tamil Nadu as per People Insight. In Puducherry, the exit poll by People Pulse has projected 16-19 Assembly seats in the NDA’s corner, while placing Congress and allies with 10 to 12 seats of the total 30 Assembly seats in the Union Territory. Meanwhile, Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) is being projected to win zero Assembly seats in Puducherry as per People Pulse. Moreover, other political parties are projected to win zero to two seats. According to exit poll projections by Axis My India, the NDA is winning the Puducherry Assembly polls with 16-20 seats, while Congress and allies are projected to win six to eight seats. Meanwhile, TVK is projected to win two to four Assembly seats in Puducherry as per Axis My India. Moreover, other political parties are projected to win one to three seats. In Puducherry, Axis My India predicted 16-20 seats for the NDA and 6-8 for the DMK-Congress. It said the TVK is likely to get 2-4 seats in the assembly. While Kamakhya Analytics predicted 17-24 seats for the AINRC plus (NDA), 4-7 for the Congress plus and 1-2 for teh TVK, Peoples Pulse predicted 16-19 seats for the AINRC plus and 10-12 for the Congress plus. Praja Poll forecast 19-25 for the AINRC and 6-10 for the Congress plus. There are 30 elected seats in Puducherry.