THE arrival of the Southwest Monsoon in Madhya Pradesh is facing a significant delay of approximately ten days this year, upsetting the agricultural calendar. While the monsoon typically enters the State by June 15 and blankets the entire region by June 25, official data indicates that it will not arrive anytime soon. The northern limit of monsoon is currently lingering far from the State’s borders, stretching through Harnai, Solapur, Hyderabad, Bhadrachalam, Koraput, Phulbani, Ranchi, Jamui and Muzaffarpur. Meteorological conditions suggest that over the next four to five days, the system will only advance further into parts of Telangana, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar and portions of neighbouring Chhattisgarh. Consequently, the monsoon is unlikely to make an entry into Madhya Pradesh before June 23 or 24, pushing the State into a prolonged waiting period. Sporadic rainfall and heavy storms battle residual summer heat: Despite the delayed monsoon, localised pre-monsoon activity driven by multiple synoptic systems has brought erratic weather across the state. A seasonal trough running from Punjab to Bihar across Uttar Pradesh, combined with an upper air cyclonic circulation over Northwest Uttar Pradesh and a western disturbance, has triggered scattered rainfall. Precipitation was recorded at a few places in the Bhopal, Narmadapuram, Ujjain, and Gwalior divisions, alongside isolated pockets in Indore, Chambal, Rewa, Jabalpur, Shahdol, and Sagar. Hatpiplaya recorded the highest rainfall at 37.0 mm, followed closely by Sultanpur with 31.4 mm and Sonkatch with 29.0 mm. These downpours were accompanied by severe high-velocity winds, with Ashoknagar registering powerful gusts of 56 kilometres per hour, followed closely by Sagar at 54 kilometres per hour, and Rajgarh and Agar both clocking wind speeds of 50 kilometres per hour.

 

Temperatures see sharp swings with extreme contrast between districts: The intense pre-monsoon disturbances have caused extreme temperature fluctuations across different districts, creating a stark contrast across the State. Maximum temperatures dropped appreciably by up to 3.9 degrees Celsius in the Narmadapuram and Chambal divisions, where values fell nearly 2.7 degrees Celsius below the seasonal normal. Conversely, districts within the Indore, Ujjain, Jabalpur, and Shahdol divisions recorded maximum temperatures up to 2.3 degrees Celsius above normal. Khajuraho emerged as the hottest spot in the state, sweltering at a maximum temperature of 41.4 degrees Celsius, closely followed by Datia at 41.2 degrees Celsius. On the flip side, Betul recorded the lowest maximum temperature at a mild 26.5 degrees Celsius, while Dhar registered the state’s lowest minimum temperature at 22.6 degrees Celsius. Capital faces variable weather as Met Department issues severe safety advisories: The State capital, Bhopal witnessed a mix of stormy weather and humidity, recording 13.8 mm of rainfall, bringing its cumulative June rainfall to 112.4 mm. The maximum temperature in the city settled at 34.8 degrees Celsius, while the morning humidity climbed to 68 per cent. The Meteorological Centre has forecast a partly cloudy sky for the capital over the next twentyfour hours, with a strong possibility of thunderstorms, lightning, and light rain toward the afternoon or evening hours. Looking at the wider state forecast, the temperature is expected to see gradual rise of 2 to 3 degrees Celsius after one day. Urgent safety warnings for thunderstorms, lightning, and severe gusty winds reaching up to 60 kilometres per hour have been issued for Rajgarh and Ashoknagar, with slightly lower wind warnings for Bhopal, Indore, Ujjain, and dozens of other districts