INDIA needs to install around
7,000 giga watts (GW) of renewable energycapacity to achieve
net-zero emissions by 2070but
deployment beyond 1,500 GW
could face critical challenges,
including climate risks, high
land prices,land conflicts, and
population density, according
to a new study.
The study by independent
think tank Council on Energy,
Environment and Water
(CEEW) is the first of its kind
tomapIndia’s renewable energy and green hydrogen potential by analysing the entire
country'sl and mass and applying real-world constraints.
India has a renewable energy (RE)potentialofover 24,000
GW and around 7,000 GW of
installed capacity is required
to achieve net-zero emissions
by 2070.
The fast-developing South
Asian nation currently has an
installed RE capacity of 150
GW, and the study says that the
constraints are relatively manageable up to 1,500 GW.
ArunabhaGhosh, theCEOof
CEEW, said, “While our RE
potentialis vast, theroad tonet
zerois fraught with challenges.
From land conflicts and population density to the unpredictable butun deniable impact
of climate change, every step
forward will demand resilience
and innovation.
“The CEEW study, for the
first time, goes into granular
details of the county's landmass tomap out where we can
build out renewable energy and
green hydrogen projects while
addressing the challenges of
land, people, and compounding, non-linear climate risks,”
Ghosh said.Beyond 750–1,500
GW,REwillneed tobedeployed
in areascharacterised as earthquake-pronezone4 orin areas
with higher seasonality, where
generation is lower than one
standard deviation from the
median generation for three
months, the study said.
“For the 1,500–3,000 GW
range, we need to access high
population density areas with
400–750 peopleper square kilometre.Unlocking the 3,000 GW
RE potential will also require
exploring land resources in
high-conflict zones,” it said.
Beyond 3,000GW,thereis an
increase in challenges associated with all constraints, from
land price to population density and conflicts, the report
revealed. At the extremity of
more than5,000 GW, India will
need to deploy RE in highly
earthquake-prone zones.
Additionally, climate risks
are quite high in some areas as
we reach higher capacity
requirements, it said.
The CEEW study finds that
population density significantly limits the realisation of
India's RE potential, with only
29 per cent of onshore wind
potential and 27 per cent of
solar potential located in areas
witha population density lower than 250 people per kmsquare.Further, aconsiderable
portion of India’s RE potential
is in high-climate-risk and
high-land-price areas -- only
18 per cent of on shore wind
potential and 22 per cent of
solar potential are located in
areas with low climate risks
and lowland prices when
looked at in isolation.
Landconflicts further restrict
deployment, with only about
35 per cent of onshore wind
potential and 41 per cent of
solar potential located in
areas free from historical land
conflicts.